Let me state clearly, I might get half of these correct and usually I miss one, maybe two categories, but 2018 has been such a wonky year, I truly do not know who is going to win. Really, I suppose no one does, but especially this year, I admit I just do not have a grand sense of who will take home the Oscar. The list offers who I firmly believe will win (as firm as I could manage), who should be based on my own opinion and who might prove a spoiler and sneak in for the win. For those I believe should Win, I often go outside of the nominations, because some of the years best films and achievements were left out. Understand I do not see the short films, either documentary or live action, so of course, neither are included.
BEST PICTURE
Will Win – Green Book
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – Roma
BEST DIRECTOR
Will Win – Alfonso Cuaron for Roma
Should Win – Damien Chazelle for First Man
Might Win – Spike Lee for BlackkKlansman
BEST ACTOR
Will Win – Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win – Christian Bale in Vice
Might Win – Viggo Mortensen in Green Book
BEST ACTRESS
Will Win – Glenn Close in The Wife
Should Win – Glenn Close in The Wife
Might Win – Lady Gaga in A Star is Born
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book
Should Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book
Might Win – Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will Win – Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk
Should Win – Amy Adams in Vice
Might Win – Emma Stone in The Favourite
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will Win – Green Book
Should Win – First Reformed
Might Win – Vice
BEST SCREENPLAY ADAPTATION
Will Win – BlackkKlansman
Should Win – BlackkKlansman
Might Win – If Beale Street Could Talk
BEST MUSICAL SCORE
Will Win – Black Panther
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – Isle of Dogs
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will Win – Roma
Should Win – Cold War
Might Win – A Star is Born
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win – Ready Player One
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – First Man
BEST SOUND
Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – First Man
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Will Win – Black Panther
Should Win – The Favourite
Might Win – Mary Poppins Returns
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will Win – The Favourite
Should Win – Mary Queen of Scots
Might Win – Black Panther
BEST FILM EDITING
Will Win – Green Book
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – BlackkKlansman
BEST SOUND EDITING
Will Win – Black Panther
Should Win – First Man
Might Win – A Quiet Place
BEST MAKE UP/ HAIRSTYLING
Will Win – Vice
Should Win – Vice
Might Win – Mary, Queen of Scots
BEST SONG
Will Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
Should Win – Shallow from A Star is Born
Might Win – Nothing else has a chance.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will Win – Roma
Should Win – Cold War
Might Win – Cold War
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will Win – RBG
Should Win – Hal
Might Win – doubt anything else has a chance
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse
Should Win – Incredibles 2
Might Win – Isle of Dogs