Let me state clearly, I might get half of these correct and usually I miss one, maybe two categories, but 2018 has been such a wonky year, I truly do not know who is going to win. Really, I suppose no one does, but especially this year, I admit I just do not have a grand sense of who will take home the Oscar. The list offers who I firmly believe will win (as firm as I could manage), who should be based on my own opinion and who might prove a spoiler and sneak in for the win. For those I believe should Win, I often go outside of the nominations, because some of the years best films and achievements were left out. Understand I do not see the short films, either documentary or live action, so of course, neither are included.

BEST PICTURE

Will Win – Green Book

Should Win – First Man 

Might Win – Roma

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win – Alfonso Cuaron for Roma

Should Win – Damien Chazelle for First Man

Might Win – Spike Lee for BlackkKlansman

BEST ACTOR

Will Win – Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody

Should Win – Christian Bale in Vice

Might Win – Viggo Mortensen in Green Book

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win – Glenn Close in The Wife

Should Win – Glenn Close in The Wife

Might Win – Lady Gaga in A Star is Born

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book

Should Win – Mahershala Ali in Green Book

Might Win – Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will Win – Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk

Should Win  – Amy Adams in Vice

Might Win – Emma Stone in The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win – Green Book

Should Win – First Reformed

Might Win – Vice

BEST SCREENPLAY ADAPTATION

Will Win – BlackkKlansman

Should Win – BlackkKlansman

Might Win – If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST MUSICAL SCORE

Will Win – Black Panther

Should Win – First Man

Might Win – Isle of Dogs

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win – Roma

Should Win – Cold War

Might Win – A Star is Born

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win – Ready Player One

Should Win – First Man

Might Win – First Man

BEST SOUND

Will Win – Bohemian Rhapsody

Should Win – First Man

Might Win – First Man

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will Win – Black Panther

Should Win – The Favourite

Might Win – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will Win – The Favourite

Should Win – Mary Queen of Scots

Might Win – Black Panther

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win – Green Book

Should Win – First Man

Might Win – BlackkKlansman

BEST SOUND EDITING

Will Win – Black Panther

Should Win – First Man 

Might Win – A Quiet Place

BEST MAKE UP/ HAIRSTYLING

Will Win – Vice

Should Win – Vice

Might Win – Mary, Queen of Scots

BEST SONG

Will Win – Shallow from A Star is Born

Should Win – Shallow from A Star is Born

Might Win – Nothing else has a chance.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Will Win – Roma

Should Win – Cold War

Might Win – Cold War

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Will Win – RBG

Should Win – Hal

Might Win – doubt anything else has a chance

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Should Win – Spider Man: Into the Spider Verse

Should Win – Incredibles 2

Might Win – Isle of Dogs

Here are the films that received multiple nominations :

Nominations	Films
10	The Favourite
	Roma
8	A Star Is Born
	Vice
7	Black Panther
6	BlacKkKlansman
5	Bohemian Rhapsody
	Green Book
4	First Man
	Mary Poppins Returns
3	The Ballad Of Buster Shrugs
	Can You Ever Forgive Me
	Cold War
	If Beale Street Could Talk
2	Isle Of Dogs
	Mary Queen Of Scots
	Never Look Away
	RBG